Harry J. Kazianis, director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest, has been conducting Russia-Ukraine war simulations with senior U.S. government officials since 2019. In a 2019 simulation, the group simulated the escalation of a NATO-Russia war that could go nuclear and kill over one billion people.
In the simulation, Russia invaded Ukraine in a similar way as the current situation. If NATO intervenes, (as they are threatening to today), then Putin will be backed into a corner. Desperate, Putin will very likely use nuclear weapons. Putin has stated multiple times that he would use nuclear weapons if threatened by NATO.
“If we aren’t careful, what happened in a simulation could happen if a NATO-Russia war erupts over Ukraine,” warned Kazianis.
NATO versus Russia, a cataclysm waiting to happen
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the largest military confrontation in Europe since World War II. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), an intergovernmental military alliance comprised of 28 European countries and 2 North American countries, collectively opposes Russia’s invasion of Ukraine; however, Ukraine does not belong to NATO and the nation is not protected by the treaty.
Since 1997, the NATO military alliance has expanded rapidly, bringing the following countries under its protection: Hungary, the Czech Republic, Poland, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovenia, Albania and Croatia. These military partnerships have advanced steadily into Eastern Europe, coming closer to Russia’s border with each advance. With Ukraine aspiring to join NATO, Putin feels that Russia is under attack.
On the eve of the Ukrainian invasion, Putin addressed the world, “In NATO documents, our country is officially and directly declared the main threat to North Atlantic security. And Ukraine will serve as a forward springboard for the strike. Russia has every right to take retaliatory measures to ensure its own security. That is exactly what we will do.”
After the declaration, Putin ordered “peacekeeping troops” in the Donbas region, where Russia backed the “people’s republics” of Donetsk and Luhansk. Ukrainian forces had been fighting ethnic Russians in these regions since 2014, in what Putin refers to as “a genocide.”
Escalation between NATO and Russia could lead to nuclear war
In the simulation, Russian forces take control over Eastern Ukraine, connecting ethnic Russians in the Donbas region with Crimea, which was annexed from Ukraine in 2014. In the process, Russia loses over 2,500 soldiers and 100 tanks, as longstanding U.S. and NATO-trained forces defend Ukraine’s capital city of Kyiv. The simulation sees Russia retaliating against the military buildup in Ukraine with a complete “demilitarization” campaign. Russia launches heavy ballistic and cruise missile strikes to further their mission.
In the simulation, Russia is punished and kicked out of SWIFT, as the West issues direct sanctions on Russian banks (which is currently taking place). This leads to Russian cyber-attacks against the West which target the electrical grid, banking sector, energy plants, etc. If any NATO country is attacked, whether directly or inadvertently, they could invoke Article 5 of the NATO Charter, declaring that an attack on one is an attack on the entire alliance. This is where NATO gets involved, escalating the situation further with heavy artillery that far outnumbers beleaguered Russian forces in Ukraine.
According to the simulation, a “no-fly zone” is enacted around Ukrainian cities to protect innocent civilians. (This is currently being debated.) At this point, Russia’s specialized military objectives are thwarted, left incomplete. Any mistakes the Russians make against innocent civilians would give NATO clear justification to intervene. Russia would almost immediately see the no-fly zone as a direct threat that provides NATO a new base of operations just across the Russian border. With economic and agricultural sanctions taking their toll on Russia, Putin could act even more aggressively, taking on airfields and military assets in Ukraine that would have given NATO an advantage. This escalation would force NATO to intervene on the ground in Ukraine. As NATO moves in for a ground war, Russian intelligence would see the troop movement as the beginning of the end. Russia may then preempt the NATO advance by using nuclear weapons.
If NATO were to intervene in Ukraine, the stakes would be raised for Russian President Vladimir Putin. Knowing that he would not stand a chance against all of NATO in a straight up firefight, Putin would most likely escalate the situation further and use nuclear weapons. NATO would almost immediately retaliate with nuclear strikes of their own. If this were to occur, then at least one billion people could be vanquished in the Third World War.
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Since the fall of the former Soviet Union, Ukraine has set its own course as an independent nation. Acknowledging the historical, cultural and religious past that it shares with the Russian Federation, Ukraine still desired to go its own path. This is free will.
After the fall of the Soviet Union, Ukraine wished to remain politically and militarily neutral, not aligning with either NATO or Russia. Ukraine even went as far as to get rid of it’s nuclear weapons for the sake of global stability.
After the Chechen war, the war in Syria, the war in Georgia, the annexation of Crimea, and the Russian support of Insurgents in the Donbas, both Poroshenko and Zelenskyy sought NATO membership. With Putin outwardly expressing desires both to re-acquire former USSR territories, but also threatening to invade other non-NATO nations, should they attempt to become a part of NATO, tensions continue to mount. Moldova, Austria, Switzerland, Finland, Sweden, and even current Baltic NATO nations bordering Kalingrad and Russia are on high alert.
The two premises that Putin gave for the context for his invasion was 1.) the buffer, and 2.) the cultural significance that Ukraine means to Russia. Why did the former USSR states, that significantly reduced the buffer between NATO and RUSSIA, decide to join NATO in the first place? Could it be that these nations wanted their own freedom and independence from a nation that ruthlessly subjugated them for decades? Could it be that the world feared global expansion of communism by the former USSR as being the wrongful aggressors, and thus don’t trust the current Russian Federation? Could it be that these nations still feared the mighty Russian army? Could it be that even after the fall of the USSR, Russia and NATO both still had tens of thousands of nuclear warheads aimed mutually at one another? If Russia lost relations with former USSR nations and lost its once wide buffer between western Europe, it is its own fault, and perhaps should consider a more peaceful relations with the world, and should set the pace for nuclear disarmament along with other nations.
But one thought is very concerning, and that is this: Would NATO ever tolerate or allow Russia to take over Ukraine completely, and thus reduce the buffer to the advantage of Russia? And then allow Russia to conquer other nations, NATO or not? At what point would NATO intervene directly, if at all?
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The Satanic “Alien Federation of Demonocracies” that enslave the world want to destroy the planet in accordance with the Satanic Babylonian Talmud as the final act vengeance against “The Divine
Trinity” (ihs) “The Divine Order of The Universe,” because all (666x(6)=360 has to offer is (360)degrees of deranged insanity, which was the condition of the nut job Akhenaten with his “Cult of the Sun Disk” and the deranged notion that there is only one g-d that dare not speak it’s name, but the” other half” is called Satania. The simple fact is that the Satanists who control the sclerotic West couldn’t give a toSS about the ordinary people, they consigned millions of them to the slaughter house in two World Wars and other conflicts since 1945, together with the deliberate poisoning of of the planet with toxic chemical sprays and every other means to bring about the sickness and death of as many people as possible, but the shits don’t include themselves in the equazion. “The Alien Federation” of Demonocracies that enslave the world appear to have forgotten that who sows the wind, reaps the whirlwind, but again, the dimwits really think that the pupil has become smarter than the Master.
The cockroaches win again!