White people of European descent will no longer make up a majority of the US population by the year 2042 – eight years sooner than previous estimates.
The big change is among Hispanics and Asians whose share of the population is set to double to 30% and 9%.
The US Census Bureau’s latest projections are based on birth, death and current immigration rates. The projections show that the US population is expected to rise from 305 million people to 439 million by 2050, but it will be a population that looks quite different both in age, race and ethnicity.
According to the census bureau’s statistics, people who regard themselves as Hispanic, African-American, Asian, American Indian, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander will become the majority by 2042. Officials had previously projected that this change would happen in 2050.
The new projections suggestion that by 2050, minorities will account for 54% of the population and non-Hispanic whites 46%, down from their current 64.7% share.
Immigration and higher birth rates among US minorities, especially Hispanics, are accelerating the demographic changes. Hispanics will see their population nearly triple from 47 million to 133 million, causing their share of the population to increase from 15% to 30%.
Asians will also see a big increase, with their numbers growing from 16 million to 41 million. Single-race Asians will account for 8% of the population and 9% including those of mixed race.
The black population, including those of mixed race, will show a slight increase from 14% to 15% of the total.
It is likely that the demographic changes will be experienced right across the country – and no longer confined to urban areas as in the past.
In Britain, at least two cities are already heading towards majority black and non-white populations, while the overall population mix is shifting in a similar direction, according to a recent report by “Operation Black Vote” organisation (note again, there is no “Operation White Vote”).
Operation Black Vote said it would take at least 50 years before any significant shift was seen in the population figures, but that “such a shift was inevitable.”
Black and ethnic minority residents now make up about 7 per cent of the general population. Growth would occur slowly as the tendency for people of Asian origin to have larger families would decline, said Ashok Viswanathan, spokesman for Operation Black Vote.
“It will slow down, as by the third generation the trend for larger families will stop,” he said. “It will take at least 50 years before we have any sizeable shift change in population. But the shift is inevitable and should be celebrated.”
Local authority leaders in Birmingham and Leicester have said their cities will be the first with majority non-white populations. Birmingham City Council claims the West Midlands city will get there first, with the change taking place in the next 20 years.
Viswanathan said some London boroughs already have more than 50 per cent non-white populations, such as Newham, east London.
The CRE said the fastest-growing population was among Britain’s mixed-race groups. Given present immigration trends and natural non-white population growth figures, Britain will lose its white majority by approximately 2070 or 2080.
“Those whom the gods wish to destroy, they first make mad. We must be mad, literally mad, as a nation to be permitting the annual inflow of some 50,000 dependants, who are for the most part the material of the future growth of the immigrant-descended population. It is like watching a nation busily engaged in heaping up its own funeral pyre. So insane are we that we actually permit unmarried persons to immigrate for the purpose of founding a family with spouses and fiancés whom they have never seen. As I look ahead, I am filled with foreboding; like the Roman, I seem to see “the River Tiber foaming with much blood.” – Enoch Powell.
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